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Earthquake prediction account alleges the imminency of the Big One
Posted: Wed Apr 05, 2023 6:49 am
by Ognistysztorm
https://twitter.com/Quakeprediction/sta ... 6165876740
"Breaking: A 4.5 earthquake, possibly a foreshock, has hit south of San Francisco. Forecast maps predict a 7.0+ earthquake between 04/05 to 04/07 in the area between Los Angeles and San Francisco Bay. Please take necessary precautions! #earthquake #SanFranciscoBay #LosAngeles "
Re: Earthquake prediction account alleges the imminency of the Big One
Posted: Wed Apr 05, 2023 6:39 pm
by Bbb23sucks
Hmmm...
This reminds me of
this. Did the WMF somehow know in advance?
Re: Earthquake prediction account alleges the imminency of the Big One
Posted: Wed Apr 05, 2023 11:31 pm
by badmachine
Twitter Community Notes wrote:Readers added context they thought people might want to know
There is no scientific basis for this or any earthquake prediction. There is always a chance for earthquakes in places like California, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. This user has posted similar claims every few days since 2009.
usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-p…
pnsn.org/outreach/faq/e…
scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthqu…
sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/pre…
nature.com/articles/d4158…
snopes.com/fact-check/can…
apnews.com/article/fact-c…
Re: Earthquake prediction account alleges the imminency of the Big One
Posted: Tue Apr 11, 2023 8:59 pm
by ericbarbour
Badmachine was right, no quake in the past week, other than a small one near San Martin and two small ones north of Ridgecrest.
Predicting them remains out of reach for "actual scientists".
For those who love to worry about quakes, this is your guiding light:
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
Re: Earthquake prediction account alleges the imminency of the Big One
Posted: Wed Apr 12, 2023 12:11 am
by Bbb23sucks
ericbarbour wrote: ↑Tue Apr 11, 2023 8:59 pm
Badmachine was right, no quake in the past week, other than a small one near San Martin and two small ones north of Ridgecrest.
Predicting them remains out of reach for "actual scientists".
For those who love to worry about quakes, this is your guiding light:
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
Sorry, I misread the original post. I thought it was an actual event rather than a prediction.